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Opinion | China-Philippines tensions: Selective listening when a statement of restraint becomes a summons

Angelo Giuliano
2026.10.18 19:35
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By Angelo Giuliano

Jing Quan was on the sidelines of the second Diliman Dialogues in Quezon City when someone asked him about Teodoro calling China a troublemaker. The ambassador's answer was plain: "If we want to use force, we may easily win. But no, we will not use force. You know, we love peace." He added that the Philippines should feel lucky to have a neighbor that refuses to settle things that way, and he pointed at the wars going on elsewhere as the reason why.

The immediate reaction

Marcos said it "sounds very much to me like a threat" and that it "deserves a discussion between the ambassador and myself." The DFA called the wording a thinly veiled threat and a poor choice. Tulfo treated the same line as a material threat Filipinos would not accept. None of them spent much time on the second half of the sentence. That kind of cut has become routine in the coverage of the South China Sea.

What the full statement actually says

There is nothing cryptic about the full remark. One part notes the obvious gap in strength. The next two parts say China will not use it. Officials make that combination all the time. Beijing has said the restraint part for years. Meanwhile Manila expanded EDCA sites, stepped up the resupply runs to the Sierra Madre, and left the military hotlines closed after Teodoro took over. The Chinese side has pointed out that missing those channels raises the chance of a mistake. That part rarely makes the headline. The clause that can be clipped as a threat does.

The familiar script

The sequence is almost mechanical now. Philippine ships move toward the features. Chinese coast guard vessels close in and maneuver. Everyone films it. The clips get packaged, sometimes with help from the tracking and narrative work tied to U.S. research centers, and they go out the same day. Civilian groups run their own highly visible trips with media along. The picture that sticks is always the same: smaller vessel under pressure from a bigger one. What falls away is the rest of it—more U.S. access through EDCA, the mutual defense treaty sitting behind the boats, the closed hotlines, and the brief window in early 2023 when joint development was still being talked about before the bases got louder.

Who benefits from the framing

The people running the line in Manila have decided to hear only the capability clause. It is not an accident. A steady story of Chinese threat keeps the alignment with Washington useful, justifies the extra bases, and gives the dispute a domestic political function. It also steers the talk away from power bills, energy costs, and the fact that the exploration track went quiet once the military track picked up. The people who live with the higher tension and the delayed commercial work are in the Philippines. The people who design the information side of it are not.

What the summons will actually test

Jing Quan did not announce a new policy. He restated the preference for managing differences without force while acknowledging the military reality that is already there. Treating the first half as the whole statement means ignoring the second half. It also means ignoring the embassy's later note that it welcomes the face-to-face talk specifically to stop certain individuals from pushing the relationship into a dangerous place. If the meeting happens, the test will be whether anyone actually talks about the closed channels, the pattern of the encounters, and the economic cost of keeping the friction high, or whether the conversation simply locks the preferred version in place.

The pattern behind the headlines

The claims and the maritime rights are real disagreements. They do not require every Chinese sentence that includes restraint to be rewritten as aggression, and they do not require every Philippine move to be filed as pure defense. The habit of selective quotation and same-day packaging has been going on long enough that it now functions as part of the operating environment rather than a side effect. When the full sentence is sitting there and the reaction still takes only the piece that keeps the existing story alive, the issue stops being comprehension. It becomes a choice.

The views do not necessarily reflect those of DotDotNews.

Read more articles by Angelo Giuliano:

Opinion | Why did the West push China into the WTO?

Opinion | The mercenary problem nobody wants to talk about

Opinion | Philippines, China, and the SeaLight Project: Tensions at sea and the funding behind them

Tag:·Angelo Giuliano· Diliman Dialogues· China-Philippines relations· South China Sea· Jing Quan· US-Philippines

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