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Opinion | Trump's 'America First' policy accidentally pioneered global stampede to dump the dollar

Angelo Giuliano
2026.03.20 09:16
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By Angelo Giuliano

Isn't it poetic justice? The very instruments that once defined Washington's unchallenged dominance—crippling sanctions regimes, proxy wars, unilateral asset seizures, SWIFT exclusions, and secondary sanctions threats—are now serving as the accelerant for the most serious challenge to dollar hegemony in decades. The more aggressively the United States has wielded these tools under the banner of "America First" and later continuations of the same logic, the more decisively it has undermined the single most powerful weapon in its arsenal: the global reserve status of the US dollar itself.

What was intended as a display of overwhelming financial and geopolitical muscle has instead become a textbook case of self-inflicted erosion. With every new sanction package, every frozen central-bank account, every coerced exclusion from dollar-based payment systems, Washington chips away at the so-called "exorbitant privilege" that allowed the United States to print the world's money, run perpetual deficits, and finance military adventures without immediate consequence. The irony is almost unbearable: the harder the US tries to punish and isolate adversaries, the faster it teaches the rest of the planet that dependence on the dollar is no longer a neutral convenience—it is a strategic vulnerability.

Weaponizing the financial system created the incentive to escape it

By turning the global financial architecture into an extension of American foreign policy—first against smaller targets like Venezuela, Cuba, and Iran, then against a major energy and commodity power like Russia—the United States did not succeed in isolating those countries in the long run. Instead, it handed them the perfect motivation and the clearest possible proof-of-concept to build escape routes.

Washington's message was received exactly backwards: rather than deterrence, the repeated weaponization of correspondent banking, dollar-clearing privileges, and reserve custody acted as a loud, public invitation for every capital outside the Western bloc to diversify away from dollar assets as rapidly as geopolitically feasible. Thank you, Washington, for providing both the urgency and the moral justification. Nations that might otherwise have continued to hold large dollar reserves for convenience suddenly had an existential reason to treat those holdings as a latent political risk rather than a safe store of value. The result has been one of the most consequential shifts in reserve management since Bretton Woods: a coordinated, if still uneven, global movement toward de-dollarization that no single BRICS summit declaration could have achieved on its own.

Russia's ruble-for-energy demand cracked the petrodollar foundation

When NATO member states and their partners chose escalation over de-escalation in the Ukraine conflict, Moscow answered with a stroke of ruthless pragmatism that few in the West anticipated. In spring 2022, Russia declared that purchases of its pipeline gas by "unfriendly" countries would henceforth require payment in rubles. What appeared at first as a desperate improvisation quickly revealed itself as a surgical strike against the petrodollar system. By forcing buyers to acquire rubles on the open market (or through new bilateral mechanisms), Moscow effectively created a new demand driver for its currency while demonstrating that the world's largest energy exporter could reroute payment flows away from dollars at will. The energy weapon and the financial weapon fused into one devastating countermeasure.

Within months, the precedent was set, and the psychological barrier had been broken: if the world's premier hydrocarbon supplier could demand settlement outside the dollar, then others controlling critical commodities—metals, rare earths, fertilizers, grain—could eventually follow suit. The dollar's near-automatic role in energy trade, the cornerstone of its post-1971 dominance, suffered its first serious, visible fracture.

The freezing of Russian reserves: The moment trust became a liability

Yet the single event that sent the loudest alarm bells ringing from Beijing to Brasília, from New Delhi to Abu Dhabi, was the coordinated Western freeze of roughly $300 billion in Russian central-bank reserves following the 2022 invasion. In that single act of extraterritorial expropriation—carried out without judicial process, without compensation, and without precedent against a G20 economy—the United States and its allies delivered an unmistakable lesson to every finance minister and central banker on the planet: your dollar reserves are not truly yours. They are custodial assets held at the pleasure of Washington and can be immobilised or confiscated whenever political winds shift. Holding large quantities of US Treasuries or dollar deposits stopped being viewed primarily as a prudent liquidity choice; it began to be seen as holding a political hostage that could be turned against the owner at any moment.

The global South absorbed the message almost immediately. Central banks accelerated sales of US government debt (China, India, Saudi Arabia, Brazil, and others reduced holdings by tens to hundreds of billions in the following years), while simultaneously launching the most sustained central-bank gold-buying campaign in modern history. Gold—physical, bearer, politically neutral, free of counterparty and sanctions risk—reemerged not as a nostalgic relic but as the only reserve asset that has never required anyone's signature to remain under sovereign control.

Iran's Strait of Hormuz play: Sovereignty meets strategic chokepoint control

The pattern continues with Iran. After decades of maximum-pressure campaigns, secondary sanctions, oil-export caps, and outright sabotage, Tehran has repeatedly demonstrated that controlling physical access to energy flows remains more decisive than controlling financial rails. Most recently, Iranian authorities have explored and in some cases implemented requirements for non-dollar (notably yuan-denominated) payments or alternative settlement mechanisms for tankers transiting the Strait of Hormuz.

This is far more than a bilateral trade tweak; it is a deliberate reminder that twenty percent of global seaborne oil still passes through waters Iran can influence or disrupt. When nations that belong to or align with the expanding BRICS bloc collectively control the upstream production, midstream transit, and downstream demand for the world's most strategic commodity, they acquire the leverage to rewrite the rules of payment and pricing. Iran's moves are therefore less about immediate revenue and more about establishing precedent: resource sovereignty can trump financial hegemony when backed by geography and willpower.

The bitter harvest of hubris

What began as an assertive "America First" posture—tariffs, sanctions maximalism, financial exclusion as first resort—has inadvertently midwifed the multipolar financial order Washington most feared. The dollar's share of allocated global reserves continues its steady multi-year decline, while yuan cross-border usage, BRICS payment platforms, local-currency trade agreements, commodity-backed digital experiments, and above all, central-bank gold accumulation gain momentum year after year.

The deeper irony is that no rival currency has yet dethroned the dollar outright; instead, the dollar is being slowly crowded out by a mosaic of alternatives born directly from distrust in unilateral American power. The greatest threat to dollar hegemony has not come from Beijing's grand design or Moscow's cunning—it has come from Washington's own refusal to recognise that trust, once lost, is not easily restored. The stampede is underway, it is global, and it is accelerating. The United States lit the match; now the rest of the world is simply walking away from the fire.

The views do not necessarily reflect those of DotDotNews.

Read more articles by Angelo Giuliano:

Opinion | The sanctions boomerang: How Iran—like Russia—could turn Western aggression into strategic victory

Opinion | Iran's smart game: Turning pennies into power against a trillion-dollar giant

Opinion | The Zionist elites: Betrayers of the Jewish masses – time to face the truth

Tag:·Opinion· Angelo Giuliano· America First· dollar hegemony· proxy wars· de-dollarization· petrodollar· ruble· US government debt· Strait of Hormuz

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