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Opinion | Why are Israel and Iran at war again? A deep dive into latest Middle East crisis

Opinion
2025.06.13 17:31
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Protesters, mainly Houthi supporters, rally in support of Palestinians in the Gaza Strip and Lebanon's Hezbollah, in Sanaa, Yemen [Khaled Abdullah/Reuters]

By Zhang Yongheng

As global tensions run high—with the Russia-Ukraine war still ongoing, India-Pakistan border clashes, and domestic unrest in the U.S.—a new flashpoint has once again ignited in the Middle East. In the early hours of June 13, Israel launched a preemptive strike on Iran, marking the most serious escalation between the two powers since Iran's direct attack on Israeli territory in April 2024.

According to Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant, the operation aims to neutralize an imminent missile and drone threat from Iran. In response, Iran immediately declared a nationwide state of alert.

A Tipping Point in a Longstanding Rivalry

The Israeli military reportedly launched "Operation Lion's Force," targeting key sites of Iran's ballistic missile program and the headquarters of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). Unconfirmed reports suggest that high-ranking IRGC officials and two nuclear scientists were killed in the strikes.

This conflict is no isolated incident. Rather, it's a culmination of long-simmering geopolitical tensions in the region—an explosive intersection of military posturing, nuclear proliferation fears, and great-power proxy rivalries.

Delayed Retaliation or Strategic Timing?

Israel's latest strike is widely viewed as a delayed retaliation for Iran's unprecedented attack in April 2024, when over 300 drones and missiles were launched at Israel following the bombing of Iran's consulate in Syria. Though most were intercepted, the event marked a turning point.

At the time, Israel—under U.S. pressure—opted not to strike back immediately, but vowed that "revenge would be delayed, not canceled." The June 13 operation may be that long-awaited response.

The Nuclear Factor: Israel's Red Line

Central to Israel's strategic calculus is Iran's suspected nuclear weapons program. Prime Minister of Isreal Benjamin Netanyahu issued a statement on June 13 confirming that the military campaign "will last for several days" and targets Iran's nuclear facilities, missile factories, and military infrastructure.

This marks the most direct Israeli attack on Iranian nuclear assets to date, surpassing past cyberattacks and covert assassinations.

Analysts believe Israel perceives a closing window to halt Iran's nuclear progress. According to recent IAEA reports, Iran's enriched uranium stockpile is now sufficient to produce multiple nuclear warheads. With political turmoil brewing at home, Netanyahu might also see strategic value in externalizing the crisis.

A Global Security Wake-Up Call

This is not merely a regional skirmish—it's a high-stakes gambit with global consequences. Both Israel and Iran are regional heavyweights with nuclear capabilities or ambitions. Their brinkmanship is pushing the Middle East closer to full-scale war.

The international community must act swiftly. The UN Security Council, especially its five permanent members, needs to establish a credible crisis management mechanism to prevent further escalation. Regional players must abandon zero-sum thinking and prioritize stability.

Meanwhile, global economies should prepare for potential shocks to energy markets and supply chains, given the region's strategic importance.

Final Thought: No Winners in a Nuclear Shadow

This latest Israel-Iran clash is a harsh reminder that in a world dominated by unilateral actions and unchecked militarism, collective security frameworks are increasingly fragile—if not broken.

As the philosopher Hegel once said, "The only thing we learn from history is that we learn nothing from history." Unless cooler heads prevail, the world may once again sleepwalk into a conflict from which no side emerges victorious—only varying degrees of loss.

The views do not necessarily reflect those of DotDotNews.

Read more articles by Tom Fowdy:

Opinion | China is playing hardball, and it's paying off

Opinion | Lee Jae-myung will tilt South Korea's foreign policy, but change will be sparse

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Tag:·Israel–Iran conflict · Middle East tensions · Iran nuclear program· Yoav Gallant· Netanyahu· Revolutionary Guard · Ballistic missiles ·Preemptive strike ·Geopolitical crisis

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